Open-Penalty
0x14a568533b523066f594d8c20cbf5fde04e8f1a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-127.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in October 2025?
1490 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
1030 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.98
- YES
Will Trump visit China by October 31?
906 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in October 2025?
571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in October 2025?
221 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in October 2025?
105 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2025?
101 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- LINDENWOOD LIONS
Lindenwood Lions vs. Indiana Hoosiers
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Xi visit the US by December 31?
93 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$1.00Nov 29, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLindenwood Lions vs. Indiana Hoosiers$1.00Nov 20, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs K27 (BO3)$1.00Nov 20, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?$1.00Nov 20, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$10.29Nov 20, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$9.78Nov 18, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?$1.90Nov 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?$1.27Nov 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?$4.91Nov 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?$1.24Nov 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 23 2025?$0.46Nov 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?$9.00Nov 16, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 23 2025?$4.00Nov 14, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?$5.00Nov 14, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?$4.00Nov 14, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?$4.00Nov 14, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEvidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?$13.00Nov 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$15.00Nov 8, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$25.98Nov 8, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?$50.55Oct 31, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".