Respectful-Celsius
0x14a95418f8240362220a7f8a93a5b1c40dea0f04
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$99.94
Total PnL
$-56.71
Realised
$-1.50
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- GAUTHIER ONCLIN
Cancun: Gauthier Onclin vs James McCabe
98 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$49.02
$-0.98
- KT ROLSTER
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)
101 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$42.92
$-0.50
- KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$8.00
$2.88
- ALEXANDER BLOCKX
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli
101 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$0.00
$-51.51
- COLORADO ROCKIES
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCancun: Gauthier Onclin vs James McCabe$51.22Aug 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)$44.67Aug 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli$50.46Aug 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli$1.04Aug 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Kansas City Royals$5.21Aug 17, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies$5.28Aug 17, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $26.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 19:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.