Spirited-Baker
0x14aaa1c08bd2f2d12132457247e337c416d1ae2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?
1226 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- MOVISTAR KOI
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
749 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
677 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-86.76
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
507 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
423 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?
272 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-154.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
217 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?
178 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?
177 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-82.29
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?
161 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$32.81Feb 2, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$20.00Jan 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$30.00Jan 30, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$30.00Jan 30, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$30.77Jan 30, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$20.00Jan 29, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$18.92Jan 29, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$20.00Jan 29, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google say "Privacy" during earnings call?$20.00Jan 28, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google say "Regulator" or "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?$20.00Jan 28, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google say "European Commission" during earnings call?$20.00Jan 28, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next press briefing?$60.00Jan 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?$98.16Jan 28, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?$250.71Jan 28, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during January press conference?$0.48Jan 28, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Median" during January press conference?$4.91Jan 28, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?$11.93Jan 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$2.00Jan 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Median" during January press conference?$4.00Jan 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Sorry" during January press conference?$4.00Jan 28, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $40.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".