0x14aafada54a36d1af153e2a277084977ca3672ae
0x14aafada54a36d1af153e2a277084977ca3672ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
16/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
2%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
663 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-164.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
401 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-120.96
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
322 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-125.18
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
294 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-114.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
292 shares @ 75.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-219.49
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
237 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-43.55
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
217 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-113.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
206 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-48.83
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
204 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-48.33
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
186 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$42.21Jul 21, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$47.79Jul 21, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$77.12Jul 21, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$59.06Jul 21, 14:43 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.24Feb 17, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 53 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
53 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 14:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.