Wallet digest

Activity score

39/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$226.18

Total PnL

$-5.1K

Realised

$-2.4K

Win rate

54 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 89

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
77 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$77.12
$62.47
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
59 shares @ 47.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$59.06
$30.91
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
48 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$47.79
$21.04
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
42 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$42.21
$30.81
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
663 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026
$0.00
$-164.65
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
401 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026
$0.00
$-120.96
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
322 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026
$0.00
$-125.18
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
294 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026
$0.00
$-114.87
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
292 shares @ 75.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026
$0.00
$-219.49
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
288 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$0.00
$-130.57

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:39 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:39 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$10.00Feb 16, 14:39 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:39 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity0 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry70 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk29 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 0
Avg trade size: $0.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 16, 14:33 UTC
Last active: Feb 16, 14:42 UTC
Win rate sample: 54 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:22:17 UTC·src:Polymarket Data