Urban-Tote
0x14aba6128b403a560c9c38417704904fa84d76ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$4.31
Total PnL
$-63.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.32
$-8.68
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in September?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 1?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 1, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$5.00Mar 1, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei seen in public by March 1?$1.02Feb 28, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 1?$3.00Feb 28, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public by March 1?$3.00Feb 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$63.46Feb 28, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3.00Jan 8, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$4.00Jan 8, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 7, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00Jan 3, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 3, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00Jan 3, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$11.00Jan 3, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$5.00Jan 3, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00Nov 2, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$19.05Sep 21, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMPavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?$0.00Sep 21, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $BTC reach 70k before October?$3.00Sep 11, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".