Sociable-Gum
0x14ac1110571c3288ff5612fe1ef1774ea9c2d92d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$450.81
Total PnL
$-700.62
Realised
$0.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
177 shares @ 70.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$147.55
$22.55
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
73 shares @ 68.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.85
$3.85
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
71 shares @ 42.5¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.15
$3.15
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
409 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.47
$-5.03
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$29.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
299 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.50
$-3.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
190 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.66
$3.66
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
42 shares @ 47.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$20.68
$0.68
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
117 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.77
$-1.23
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
320 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.47
$-1.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFlorian Wirtz: 1+ goals$5.07Jun 14, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?$1.03Jun 14, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?$2.05Jun 14, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-2.5)$15.13Jun 14, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$39.73Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$5.00Jun 14, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$5.00Jun 14, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$10.00Jun 14, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$27.43Jun 14, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMScotland leading at halftime?$10.00Jun 14, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 14, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$10.00Jun 14, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$20.16Jun 14, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?$9.09Jun 14, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?$14.29Jun 14, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland?$1.54Jun 14, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland?$2.05Jun 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland?$1.03Jun 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland?$3.08Jun 14, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Haiti 2 - 2 Scotland?$1.03Jun 14, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.