Difficult-Sousaphone
0x14b4cd786959f7c2b071faa8196cab457ebe638b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$39.00
Total PnL
$-150.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
39 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$39.00
$7.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2148 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.97
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
60 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
50 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
50 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-25.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10?
30 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-14.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 13?
30 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-14.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 19?
30 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-12.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?
30 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-12.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 11?
30 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 19?$12.90Nov 19, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 19?$3.60Nov 18, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?$8.00Nov 18, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?$12.21Nov 17, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$10.00Nov 17, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$25.80Nov 14, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 13?$14.10Nov 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$7.32Nov 12, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$9.71Nov 12, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 11?$7.20Nov 11, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10?$14.13Nov 10, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?$10.00Nov 10, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$10.00Nov 10, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?$10.00Nov 10, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Nov 10, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?$4.91Nov 5, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?$5.36Nov 4, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?$5.10Nov 4, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$6.10Nov 3, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$6.30Nov 3, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $8.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.