Elated-Storyboard
0x14b9909c89c3927155883562ee7beca130b3f378
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.1K
Total PnL
$-266.3K
Realised
$24.2K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
404359 shares @ 6.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.7K
$-19.6K
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
43912 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$417.17
$-90.85
- YES
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
269939 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.3K
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
74043 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.8K
- OVER
Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 1.5
57717 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.2K
- YES
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?
57585 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.7K
- UNDER
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5
43984 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- UNDER
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 0.5
40047 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.2K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
40000 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.5K
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
38450 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.63Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$160.88Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $4.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.