Flawed-Law
0x14bd498aba7b1764bbfdd9c2991cb0962d500793
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$20.25
Total PnL
$-738.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$20.25
$9.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET
1475 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-737.48
- NO
Will Trump say "Fat" this week? (January 18)
18 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$10.68Jun 3, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$4.15Apr 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.55Apr 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.89Apr 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.83Apr 13, 10:40 UTC
- REWARD$1.04Apr 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNetflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 9?$24.00Apr 9, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 9?$23.50Apr 9, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.55Mar 26, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$4.50Mar 1, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fat" this week? (January 18)$10.71Jan 11, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMKraken IPO in 2025?$1.56Jan 11, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO in 2025?$1.56Dec 8, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?$1.06Dec 8, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?$1.00Nov 3, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET$737.48Oct 25, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$13.27Sep 25, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.64Sep 25, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$13.91Sep 25, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$13.91Sep 22, 15:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $30.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".