0x14cb1ab8c877ce85f22360435864ac826463ab83
0x14cb1ab8c877ce85f22360435864ac826463ab83
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-394.96
Realised
$5.47
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
1827 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.58
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Thunder
402 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
183 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.49
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
170 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
88 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.63
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
83 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4AM ET
68 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
66 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- KINGS
Kings vs. Spurs
58 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
57 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.95Jul 22, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$2.92Jul 22, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$3.89Jul 22, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$7.17Jul 22, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$4.87Jul 22, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.94Jul 22, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$3.87Jul 22, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.95Jul 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$11.78Jul 22, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.04Jul 22, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$4.87Jul 22, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$4.88Jul 22, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$6.25Jul 22, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.94Jul 22, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$6.37Jul 22, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$4.21Jul 22, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$4.87Jul 22, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$6.80Jul 22, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$4.87Jul 22, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - July 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$6.97Jul 22, 05:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 00:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.