Ideal-Archaeologist
0x14cfbcef3aaff2d68420a2c96e4d4d3fb9f1aae6
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-99.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$19.13Jul 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?$2.84Jul 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$9.09Jul 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$3.41Jul 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$3.79Jul 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$40.00Jul 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$10.00Jul 14, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$40.54Jul 14, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3PM ET$90.54Jul 14, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3PM ET$34.76Jul 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$13.02Jul 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$47.79Jul 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$24.40Jul 13, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMMariners vs. Tigers$0.00Jul 13, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMRockies vs. Reds$0.00Jul 13, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMPhillies vs. Padres$24.39Jul 13, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockies vs. Reds$9.65Jul 12, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMariners vs. Tigers$10.00Jul 12, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhillies vs. Padres$10.00Jul 12, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLCubs vs. Yankees$29.66Jul 12, 07:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $18.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.