Muted-Snowboarding
0x14d51289d334dc61eda59b4d0e9bd73499331c2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.08
Total PnL
$-38.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 1?
143 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.08
$-0.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 31?
187 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.41
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 13?
168 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 27?
126 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?
126 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?
85 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 23?
83 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 27?
80 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?
78 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 13?
68 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 1?$2.91Jul 1, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?$2.08Jun 1, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$52.20May 31, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$1.75May 31, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$50.06May 29, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$2.13May 29, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$49.88May 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$0.07May 21, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$47.22May 21, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$52.08May 10, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$0.23May 9, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$49.30May 9, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 21?$44.06Apr 30, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 21?$43.00Apr 21, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?$53.73Apr 18, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 11?$3.04Apr 11, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $120 on January 23?$0.00Apr 11, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 20?$0.00Apr 1, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?$0.19Mar 31, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?$52.41Mar 31, 15:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $21.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.