Fearless-Taxicab
0x14d5885747b47ec45c6cef7d54e2555a09d08ba8
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
149
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$152.64
Realised
$55.51
Win rate
53%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 149- NO
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
490 shares @ 60.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$475.21
$179.51
- YES
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
443 shares @ 39.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$442.97
$267.45
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
270 shares @ 59.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$257.94
$98.27
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
224 shares @ 47.8¢·now 87.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$196.71
$89.74
- YES
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
180 shares @ 47.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$179.91
$94.41
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
190 shares @ 43.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$170.05
$87.15
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?
180 shares @ 60.8¢·now 79.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$143.46
$33.96
- NO
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
137 shares @ 78.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$133.10
$26.02
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
180 shares @ 65.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$121.50
$3.00
- NO
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
120 shares @ 65.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$114.00
$35.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$9.64Jul 28, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$8.38Jul 28, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$30.00Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$30.00Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$13.52Jul 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$4.20Jul 28, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 27?$30.00Jul 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2?$9.90Jul 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?$2.80Jul 28, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?$19.40Jul 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$1.11Jul 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?$13.11Jul 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$6.30Jul 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$12.39Jul 28, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$15.60Jul 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$17.40Jul 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$17.40Jul 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$16.20Jul 28, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$8.10Jul 28, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$0.04Jul 28, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $11.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.