Dearest-Pasture
0x14d6cc4722424ddd78a20a57d12712a2ce6b5066
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$12.14
Total PnL
$-46.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$7.14
$2.14
- NO
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$1.10
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?
18 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?$12.20Dec 31, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.20 released by December 31?$3.90Dec 27, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$5.00Dec 27, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?$5.00Dec 27, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$5.00Dec 27, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?$10.00Dec 27, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?$5.00Dec 27, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$10.00Dec 5, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.00Dec 5, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?$5.00Dec 4, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 4, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 4, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $5.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.