Neat-Gang
0x14db6124fd8d0a79c631e5c1f1c0e561037b7caf
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-119.74
Win rate
0%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?
1115 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?
1093 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-329.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 4?
1050 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-221.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 6?
733 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?
672 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?
629 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 85 and 90?
611 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
577 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 1?
543 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?
541 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$25.65Jul 24, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$25.66Jul 24, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$26.24Jul 24, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$26.29Jul 24, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Jul 23, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$83.43Jul 23, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$25.69Jul 23, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$25.71Jul 23, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.00Jul 23, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$32.47Jul 23, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$25.40Jul 23, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.00Jul 23, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$103.72Jul 23, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$103.93Jul 23, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.29Jul 23, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?$103.34Jul 23, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?$51.31Jul 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?$61.61Jul 11, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?$170.37Jul 11, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 11?$255.53Jul 11, 21:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $94.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 13:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.