Excited-Gavel
0x14e0d502828c4b261cce7437432551af5c45f715
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$631.36
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??
631 shares @ 77.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$631.36
$143.36
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
17000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-850.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
9338 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-933.84
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
8571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
7790 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
7556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-69.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
5889 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 29?
333 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
167 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 28?
116 shares @ 86.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$12.99Nov 30, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??$488.00Nov 30, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$59.12Nov 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?$34.61Nov 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$3.79Nov 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$31.04Nov 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$28.01Nov 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Snowflake say "Azure" during earnings call?$24.57Nov 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$307.35Nov 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$933.84Nov 30, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$137.50Nov 13, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$706.19Nov 13, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?$100.00Oct 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 28?$100.00Oct 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$55.00Oct 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Snowflake say "Azure" during earnings call?$100.00Oct 28, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?$56.50Oct 28, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$300.00Oct 28, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$100.00Oct 28, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$100.00Oct 28, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $282.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 17:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.