Submissive-Congressman
0x14ea35b63351d2f3ef424b4a7f70741f480a998b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-977.67
Realised
$7.33
Win rate
74%
94 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 16?
1082 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?
1050 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 1?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.77Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6?$0.80Aug 6, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?$0.81Aug 5, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?$0.01Aug 5, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?$0.19Aug 5, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$0.25Jul 31, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?$0.50Jul 31, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?$0.30Jul 31, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$0.75Jul 31, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 28?$0.40Jul 28, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 28?$0.80Jul 28, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
74% win rate over 94 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 20/100.
94 closed markets, 74% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 94 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.