Watchful-Shark
0x14f1b5b896c127a29b8436bd57e13127903ad289
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.52
Total PnL
$-16.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.21
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 8?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 9?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
540 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 8?
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- JETS
Dolphins vs. Jets
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DEVILS
Devils vs. Panthers
6 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- BILLS
Bills vs. Texans
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$80.18May 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$80.10May 28, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$80.17May 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$80.10May 23, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$80.08May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$80.00May 13, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?$79.98May 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?$79.90May 10, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$79.88May 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$79.80May 6, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$79.88May 6, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$79.80Apr 28, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?$79.79Apr 28, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?$79.72Apr 24, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 20?$79.72Apr 24, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 20?$79.65Apr 19, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?$79.65Apr 19, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?$79.58Apr 13, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 3?$79.57Apr 13, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 3?$79.35Apr 3, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $65.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 03:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".