Shameful-Manor
0x14f81ed6efcea94857d965fc0501e27dc063268e
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$90.09
Total PnL
$-10.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$90.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 4?
1114 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,600 on January 14?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 18?
940 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$90.00Jun 8, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$90.09Jun 8, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$90.01Jun 2, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?$90.09Jun 2, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?$90.01May 23, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$90.09May 23, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$90.00May 17, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$90.09May 17, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$90.00May 13, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$2.10May 13, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.09May 13, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.00May 7, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$2.35May 7, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$94.09May 7, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$94.01May 4, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?$94.09May 4, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?$94.00Apr 26, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 23?$94.17Apr 26, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 23?$94.00Apr 23, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$94.27Apr 23, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $82.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.