Distorted-Hanger
0x15011f60eb04f49215bb2a6ed4309ea4a242039d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$10.77
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
1876 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
1081 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
944 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-264.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
935 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-422.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
764 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-175.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
709 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
536 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-48.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
301 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-98.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
294 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-98.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
279 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-125.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$2.09Jul 14, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$2.00Jul 14, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.03Jul 14, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.47Jul 14, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.04Jul 14, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.53Jul 14, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.03Jul 14, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.01Jul 14, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$45.18Jul 14, 02:30 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.39Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$42.98Jul 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$31.56Jul 13, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$30.92Jul 13, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$61.83Jul 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$62.38Jul 13, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$44.67Jul 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$44.35Jul 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$78.44Jul 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$78.52Jul 13, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$61.50Jul 13, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $33.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 17:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.