Warm-Synthesis
0x1513b4797102a3426a25c333b1e78bbe605a352f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-163.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30?
498 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2023$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
[Single Market] Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
315 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
181 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-29.00
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS?
58 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2024$0.00
$-9.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSBF sentenced to 50+ years?$88.00Mar 19, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden join NATO by January 31?$120.15Jan 7, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31?$35.29Jan 7, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden join NATO by January 31?$10.00Jan 6, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US attack Yemen in 2023?$139.28Jan 5, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMGTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7?$0.00Jan 1, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?$59.54Jan 1, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill BTC hit $50,000 in 2023?$223.47Jan 1, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023?$4.99Dec 25, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023?$55.00Dec 25, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump and Biden both win nomination?$276.00Dec 25, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS?$9.35Dec 19, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31?$10.00Dec 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden join NATO by January 31?$70.00Dec 19, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden join NATO by January 31?$39.65Dec 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023?$20.00Dec 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US attack Yemen in 2023?$50.00Dec 19, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US attack Yemen in 2023?$64.00Dec 15, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTC hit $50,000 in 2023?$200.00Dec 15, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMEmmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?$22.73Dec 4, 07:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $74.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 17:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".