Simplistic-Clockwork
0x151de146b5825d13381ea7ebfac2af41c0e84497
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$289.63
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1500 shares @ 73.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$172.50
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
3400 shares @ 18.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$697.00
$85.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
900 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$544.49
$-13.50
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
715 shares @ 75.8¢·now 73.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$526.34
$-15.03
- NO
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
900 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$508.41
$-40.59
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
500 shares @ 68.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$367.49
$27.50
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
700 shares @ 53.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$357.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
200 shares @ 63.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$194.70
$68.70
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
2500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$187.50
$37.50
- NO
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 63.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$148.50
$-40.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$6.92Jun 10, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$3.68Jun 10, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 10, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 10, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 10, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 10, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$39.10Jun 10, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$109.49Jun 10, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$0.92Jun 10, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$6.10Jun 10, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$4.58Jun 10, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$632.07Jun 10, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$186.00Jun 9, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$169.33Jun 7, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$4.84Jun 7, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$14.83Jun 7, 19:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.41Jun 7, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$100.50Jun 6, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?$21.07Jun 6, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?$379.00Jun 6, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $83.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.