Rusty-Casualty
0x1524e8d442c32d2684f78ce82cb6e2b5d221a1cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.12
Total PnL
$-47.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
96 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 12, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 12, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the December meeting?$1.03Dec 12, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 1850+ measles cases in the U.S. on December 31?$1.01Dec 12, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 1850+ measles cases in the U.S. on December 31?$1.00Dec 1, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the December meeting?$1.00Nov 29, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$100.00Nov 7, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$48.00Nov 7, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$50.00Nov 7, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $13.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".