0x152d8d2f595d4f18a936af98dbc97165e7bd94ab
0x152d8d2f595d4f18a936af98dbc97165e7bd94ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$22.22
Total PnL
$-21.55
Realised
$-4.91
Win rate
21%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 12?
11 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$10.81
$6.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 12?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$7.41
$5.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 11?
4 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$4.00
$3.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on March 12?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 12?
58 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on March 12?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 13?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 13?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 12?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12?
18 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 24?$6.21Mar 19, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 25?$4.83Mar 19, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?$5.00Mar 19, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 25?$5.17Mar 19, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?$15.51Mar 19, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 11?$0.00Mar 19, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 12?$0.00Mar 19, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 12?$0.00Mar 19, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 25?$4.41Mar 18, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 25?$4.95Mar 18, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?$5.40Mar 18, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?$5.52Mar 18, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?$5.61Mar 18, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?$5.50Mar 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 24?$4.94Mar 18, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 24?$4.80Mar 18, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 11?$0.00Mar 18, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 12?$0.00Mar 18, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 12?$0.00Mar 18, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 11?$0.00Mar 18, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $5.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 05:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 05:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.