Costly-Challenge
0x153b6f7e3f8b46ccc4481101a48f86e5fa2c654c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
162
Open notional
$349.67
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
292 shares @ 88.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$278.47
$19.55
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$40.25
$-2.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
20 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$20.00
$0.80
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
30 shares @ 59.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.95
$-6.75
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET
437 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET
344 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4AM ET
292 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-129.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1AM ET
194 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET
124 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.67
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$19.25May 18, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$5.00May 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$20.00May 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$20.00May 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$20.00May 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$20.00May 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$20.00May 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$20.00May 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$70.00May 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$70.00May 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$100.00May 18, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$19.12May 18, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$4.84May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$3.48May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$4.48May 18, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$18.88May 18, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$19.79May 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$18.47May 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$19.79May 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$17.60May 18, 10:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $22.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".