Worthwhile-Risk
0x153dbcbb7419aedaa537886cf827b05953a71be9
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$366.17
Total PnL
$-649.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
6248 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$128.09
$28.12
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
2558 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$102.33
$-13.67
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1887 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$97.17
$-2.83
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
15432 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$38.58
$-61.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
22948 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-499.98
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?
1138 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$40.40Jun 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$25.67Jun 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$106.93Jun 11, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$106.93Jun 11, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$48.57Jun 11, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$58.11Jun 11, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$104.93Jun 11, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$104.97Jun 11, 15:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?$103.65Jun 10, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$104.89Jun 10, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$106.95Jun 10, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.84Jun 10, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$119.32Jun 10, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $91.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.