Limited-Crayon
0x1543998bc4a51a0d91ee1ea4bd7509695995b35a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$555.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$1.68
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
260 shares @ 87.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$260.00
$32.50
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
195 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$195.00
$83.75
- NO
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$100.00
$1.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
1380 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
408 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-136.06
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
350 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-44.90
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
300 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-11.40
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
300 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-31.20
- YES
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
80 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-48.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMOver $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$5.00Nov 4, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$50.00Nov 4, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 27-30?$231.00Nov 4, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$3.05Oct 29, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$2.95Oct 29, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$18.30Oct 29, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$22.20Oct 29, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$30.50Oct 29, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$18.50Oct 29, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.17Oct 27, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 27-30?$28.95Oct 27, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$17.40Oct 27, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$16.00Oct 27, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 27-30?$28.95Oct 27, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$29.00Oct 27, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$16.00Oct 27, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 27-30?$64.66Oct 27, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$12.80Oct 27, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$1.20Oct 27, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$5.80Oct 27, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $25.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.