Grumpy-Refuse
0x15479e8d1c419a9057191a260d5355412ac1fc67
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
2818 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
100 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
25 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
12 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$18.00Apr 22, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$3.90Apr 16, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$20.00Apr 16, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$3.86Apr 11, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$1.26Apr 10, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$2.46Apr 10, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$0.89Apr 10, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$0.17Apr 10, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$0.05Apr 10, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$4.00Apr 10, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$4.00Apr 10, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9?$19.98Apr 9, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9?$4.50Apr 8, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 8, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$15.98Apr 6, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$14.00Apr 5, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $6.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.