Outlying-Horde
0x154f617b74d32685f6387a1c7b85904a3749cb3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$38.77
Total PnL
$-9.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
8 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$8.05
$0.05
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.45
$0.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on February 5?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$7.01
$0.01
- NO
Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.05
$0.05
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.43
$0.43
- NO
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 93.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.79
$-0.21
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?$5.00Feb 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$8.00Feb 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?$6.00Feb 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on February 5?$7.00Feb 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on January 26?$3.00Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?$3.01Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 25?$7.01Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 26?$7.01Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$7.22Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in January 2026?$9.03Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?$3.00Jan 24, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 26?$7.00Jan 24, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on January 26?$3.00Jan 24, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 25?$7.00Jan 24, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in January 2026?$9.00Jan 24, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 11?$3.00Jan 24, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 11?$7.01Jan 24, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 11?$10.01Jan 24, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMRanger FDV above $60M one day after launch?$11.41Jan 24, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $6.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.