Firsthand-Hydrant
0x1555e4fcacace46f123c4d114057d26ab7e7e4dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$149.81
Total PnL
$-15.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 27?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$5.57
$0.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.53
$0.53
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 28?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.49
$0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 28?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.44
$0.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?
6 shares @ 76.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$5.36
$1.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.33
$0.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 27?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$5.30
$0.31
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 28?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 29?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.19
$0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.13
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on July 29?$1.86Jul 27, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 28?$4.99Jul 27, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?$4.99Jul 27, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?$4.99Jul 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 29?$4.99Jul 27, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 29?$4.99Jul 27, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?$4.99Jul 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on July 29?$4.97Jul 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 29?$4.99Jul 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$0.94Jul 27, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 27?$4.99Jul 27, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$4.05Jul 27, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 29?$4.75Jul 27, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 29?$4.64Jul 27, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 29?$4.75Jul 27, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 28?$4.99Jul 27, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 28?$4.99Jul 27, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?$5.61Jul 26, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 26?$5.61Jul 26, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 26?$5.61Jul 26, 23:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 21:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.