Heavy-Mine
0x155cfc44202230ce5487a4b3b9aeda04e3871b09
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$66.27
Total PnL
$-312.17
Realised
$-30.80
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?
310 shares @ 9.0¢·now 19.3¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$59.62
$31.74
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 17?
555 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$6.65
$-60.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET
466 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-35.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 30?
410 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-217.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?$10.62Aug 17, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10PM ET$6.81Aug 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10PM ET$5.24Aug 17, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$2.21Aug 17, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$0.23Aug 17, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$5.34Aug 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?$0.32Aug 17, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$5.34Aug 17, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$5.32Aug 17, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$5.32Aug 17, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?$4.83Aug 17, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$5.32Aug 17, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$5.30Aug 17, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?$0.99Aug 17, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$3.87Aug 17, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$6.03Aug 17, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$5.29Aug 17, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$5.29Aug 17, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 17?$12.54Aug 17, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET$5.28Aug 17, 01:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 23:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 02:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.