Serene-Kiosk
0x155eed6405e964fa2330fae797f320669d8f056c
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$41.93
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
115 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.98
$-4.02
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1818 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.45
$-4.54
- YES
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
18718 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-389.97
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
4476 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-51.93
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
3067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
2320 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-124.97
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1048 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
273 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$23.74Jun 12, 12:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$24.07Jun 9, 17:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$9.12May 28, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $17.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.