Inexperienced-Organisation
0x1562806c141abe29e5b0340b5f25663a483fb441
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$99.26
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-5.54
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
17 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$17.47
$0.05
- NO
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$14.13
$0.01
- NO
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$13.15
$0.01
- NO
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.63
$0.03
- NO
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.27
$-0.01
- NO
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$11.13
$0.01
- NO
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.83
$0.05
- NO
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
9 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$8.65
$0.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 2AM ET
2462 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.