Insidious-Squeegee
0x156bf597c459111570b3fe413a0e9abef081baa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$16.41
Realised
$56.57
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- ISLAM MAKHACHEV
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
1000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$755.00
$5.00
- IAN MACHADO GARRY
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
2000 shares @ 23.5¢·now 24.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$490.00
$20.00
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.45
$0.85
- YES
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.75
$-2.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$47.88Aug 14, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$138.80Aug 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$13.30Aug 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$7.80Aug 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$3.93Aug 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$62.40Aug 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.02Aug 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$62.40Aug 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$3.12Aug 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$3.03Aug 14, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$22.31Aug 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$24.83Aug 14, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$208.45Aug 14, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$154.37Aug 14, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$6.23Aug 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$12.75Aug 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$4.25Aug 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$100.00Aug 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$4.25Aug 14, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $35.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.