Queasy-Sturgeon
0x1573d8308a9a4533318ada851a05a17f162de7b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-223.38
Realised
$-73.51
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 13?
283 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 12?
282 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will BNB dip to $800 in December?
274 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?
273 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 5?
271 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.87
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
268 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 12?
266 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 10?
265 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 3?
263 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 17?
228 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 29?$98.00Jul 29, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 29?$96.04Jul 28, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 17?$2.01Jul 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 12?$1.13Jul 11, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 7?$95.78Jul 7, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 7?$93.19Jul 6, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 3?$2.69Jul 2, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 30?$106.41May 30, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 30?$102.26May 30, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 27?$2.24May 26, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on May 22?$92.65May 22, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on May 22?$91.07May 21, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 15?$1.43May 14, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 9?$2.20May 8, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?$31.60May 7, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 11?$0.00Apr 25, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 19?$2.45Apr 19, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?$1.57Apr 18, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 15?$72.47Apr 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 15?$69.57Apr 14, 21:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $24.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.