Unruly-Prostacyclin
0x157a47fa073afc793c1b89723662b053dc12f5ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-633.60
Realised
$-180.01
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?
279 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 22?
279 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.58
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 17?
278 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.49
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 26?
278 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?
275 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 1?
271 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.84
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on December 1?
270 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 19?
269 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 21?
268 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 18?
265 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 12?$33.45Aug 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 12?$31.11Aug 12, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 27?$2.78Jul 26, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?$1.76Jul 21, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 11?$44.42Jul 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 11?$40.87Jul 10, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 3?$2.94Jun 2, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$43.78May 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$39.84May 24, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 22?$2.24May 21, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$35.84May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$33.83May 15, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 13?$2.29May 12, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $85 on April 25?$33.50May 2, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $85 on April 25?$30.82Apr 26, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 4?$0.00Apr 26, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?$4.11Apr 19, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $150 on November 18?$0.00Apr 19, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 11?$1.26Apr 11, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on March 27?$45.64Apr 11, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $16.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.