Indolent-Payoff
0x157de29334bb2c0788e3d63467d71ed7fc95ea74
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$288.44
Total PnL
$15.03
Realised
$-0.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
223 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.90
$10.05
- NO
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.18
$1.18
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.66
$0.66
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.52
$0.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$8.47
$3.47
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.20
$0.20
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 58.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.15
$-0.62
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$5.00Jun 2, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET$5.14Jun 2, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$10.40Jun 2, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$4.00May 7, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.62May 7, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.38May 7, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.13Apr 23, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.00Apr 23, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 23, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$2.00Apr 23, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by April 30?$10.13Apr 23, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$1.77Apr 16, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$25.18Apr 9, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.82Apr 9, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$10.00Apr 8, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$10.00Apr 8, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$10.00Apr 8, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$20.00Apr 8, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$27.85Apr 8, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 03:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 02:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".