Greedy-Sousaphone
0x15818171a46c140858729ffbbe93d0ca08676cad
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$820.18
Total PnL
$-210.99
Realised
$43.82
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?
450 shares @ 23.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$450.00
$345.00
- YES
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
231 shares @ 30.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$231.00
$160.77
- YES
Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?
139 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$139.18
$111.34
- YES
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
1200 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-154.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?
1000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg announce Michigan Senate run before March?
886 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-134.03
- YES
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
500 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
DeepSeek V4 released before May?
500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$20.00Dec 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$15.10Sep 1, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$0.30Aug 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$0.08Aug 28, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$15.05Aug 27, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$1.94Aug 24, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$1.61Aug 24, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$0.15Aug 23, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$0.79Aug 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$0.08Aug 22, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$0.23Aug 18, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$0.08Aug 16, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$1.54Aug 16, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$7.00Aug 15, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$12.60Aug 12, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$0.29Jul 27, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$3.27Jul 2, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$9.90Jul 1, 02:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.99Apr 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released before May?$49.32Apr 14, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $18.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".