Jam-Packed-Oak
0x15830c9c5e76d18f9ec0e8449fa28f90b6fdaef6
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.94
Total PnL
$-2.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.38
$1.38
- NO
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Maduro receives asylum by December 31?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Epstein client list released in 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$5.00Dec 3, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?$1.00Dec 3, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on the West Bank by December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro receives asylum by December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$9.00Dec 3, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".