Finished-Contrast
0x15850c5eb7e91636d744a3972c24604fcd10025a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.73
Total PnL
$-67.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.89
$-8.19
- YES
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30?
17 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.84
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 28?
50 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-18.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on April 30?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 20?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 24?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 26?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 19?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 23?
50 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 23?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30?$1.84Jun 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$3.78Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$1.30Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$2.73Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$2.73Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$1.45Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$1.45Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$1.45Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$2.90Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$1.45Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$19.57Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?$8.88Jun 14, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$5.04Jun 14, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$5.04Jun 14, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.41Jun 14, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.82Jun 14, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.61Jun 14, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.12Jun 14, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.12Jun 14, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$14.65Jun 14, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.