Spotted-Raid
0x15864ce4993233b4f18c5a656a41df2172e6df52
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-373.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?
179 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
176 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on February 24?
174 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
99 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-83.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$83.54Feb 27, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$67.90Feb 25, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?$100.00Feb 24, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$55.00Feb 24, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on February 24?$40.00Feb 24, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$150.00Feb 24, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$41.98Feb 24, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$32.00Feb 24, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$20.06Feb 24, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$61.52Feb 24, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $64.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 13:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.