Dear-Interconnection
0x15872098322d970c8af0960508c2c232dbd7901a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.87
Total PnL
$-148.93
Realised
$-19.21
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.87
$0.80
- YES
Will Cramer say "Good Time to Buy" during TBPN on December 4?
102 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
- 25 BPS CUT
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?
79 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-38.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in December 2025?
71 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.85
- YES
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?
67 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- NO
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
57 shares @ 70.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-40.41
- YES
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?
47 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
37 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
31 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.83
- NO
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
26 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?$1.00May 22, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$7.00May 22, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.00May 22, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anfernee Simons win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?$10.00May 22, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$23.00May 22, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$110.00May 22, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill A House of Dynamite be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$123.00May 22, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Cameron be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$126.00May 22, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.35Feb 8, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$5.19Feb 8, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$17.32Feb 8, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$54.24Feb 8, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill ohnePixel vape on stream in 2025?$1.00Jan 12, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?$4.00Jan 12, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on the West Bank by December 31?$4.00Jan 12, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of Newsom Dem Pres Nominee over 40% by December 31?$8.00Jan 12, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?$11.00Jan 12, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$15.00Jan 12, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$18.00Jan 12, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu get between 30% and 35% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$20.00Jan 12, 04:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $12.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 22:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.