Identical-Son
0x158855dee0736ce7bfa473914ecad0fdc51c89fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-536.03
Realised
$88.15
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
5000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-137.61
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
2000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-87.81
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?
1750 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-195.46
- YES
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
501 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-138.40
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
500 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-64.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Greens be part of the next German government?$244.25Feb 24, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$248.57Feb 24, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?$103.59Feb 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?$4.17Feb 4, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?$0.38Feb 4, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$4.67Feb 4, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$80.00Feb 4, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?$0.85Feb 4, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?$5.00Feb 4, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?$100.00Feb 4, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Greens be part of the next German government?$16.05Feb 3, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?$1.00Feb 3, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?$40.82Feb 3, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $26.00Feb 3, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$51.00Feb 3, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?$30.00Feb 2, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $52.40Feb 2, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$1.63Feb 2, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?$2.08Feb 2, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?$1.10Feb 2, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $35.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".