Conventional-Galley
0x158f876cd1f9dd6d71571b2253f231fe7b1dfc09
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-416.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
879 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-251.04
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
850 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
839 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
698 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
583 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 27, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 27, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.00Dec 9, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$2.00Nov 12, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$3.00Nov 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$5.00Nov 12, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$5.00Oct 29, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$5.00Oct 28, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 28, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 14, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 11, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 11, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 11, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 11, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?$2.00Aug 2, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?$4.00Aug 2, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?$2.00Aug 1, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?$2.00Aug 1, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".