Flaky-Hydrant
0x158fd59de31b20b6a1e3f435c772d9c3dcf5c61e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$136.41
Total PnL
$0.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
54 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$53.76
$3.76
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?
52 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$51.55
$1.55
- YES
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?
20 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$20.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
11 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.60
$0.60
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 28?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$10.00Oct 18, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?$20.00Oct 18, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$50.00Oct 18, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on October 18?$50.00Oct 18, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$5.00Oct 18, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 28?$1.00Jul 28, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMRipple above $1.69 on December 6?$10.00Jul 28, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill $MOODENG be listed first on Coinbase?$20.00Jul 28, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $MOODENG be listed first on Coinbase?$19.98Dec 4, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipple above $1.69 on December 6?$9.83Dec 4, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 4, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$237.42Nov 19, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$240.00Nov 19, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$215.76Oct 31, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$229.71Oct 30, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$239.94Oct 27, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $102.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 18, 14:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.