Unfolded-Phone
0x1590a24443f6e34cb5dcfa931ef20b7c74df000d
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$12.66
Total PnL
$-6.33
Realised
$-0.45
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- UNDER
EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR: EC Vitória O/U 1.5
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$1.93
$0.73
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
5 shares @ 39.9¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
7 shares @ 36.5¢·now 19.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.44
$-1.20
- YES
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
4 shares @ 29.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.07
$-0.14
- YES
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of August 2026?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.05
$-0.24
- YES
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.89
$-0.39
- YES
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.72
$-0.14
- YES
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
5 shares @ 25.4¢·now 15.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.70
$-0.48
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.62
$-0.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31?$0.00Aug 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR: EC Vitória O/U 1.5$1.24Aug 16, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: FC Supra Du Quebec 1 - 2 Atletico Ottawa?$0.00Aug 16, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMFK IMT Novi Beograd vs. FK Radnicki Nis: O/U 0.5$0.00Aug 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31?$1.56Aug 16, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMCA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: CA Sarmiento O/U 2.5$1.21Aug 16, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: CA Sarmiento O/U 2.5$1.21Aug 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK IMT Novi Beograd vs. FK Radnicki Nis: O/U 0.5$1.06Aug 16, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Supra Du Quebec 1 - 2 Atletico Ottawa?$1.22Aug 16, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMFC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5$0.00Aug 16, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seoul E-Land FC win on 2026-08-16?$0.00Aug 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5$1.27Aug 16, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.54Aug 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of August 2026?$1.84Aug 16, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$1.15Aug 16, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$2.58Aug 16, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$2.99Aug 16, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.38Aug 16, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.17Aug 16, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul E-Land FC win on 2026-08-16?$1.27Aug 16, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 06:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 22:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.