Vacant-Surprise
0x15934f628098e5f272218265fd75048acaef6148
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.39
Realised
$-5.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in February 2026?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
75 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-44.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Super Bowl LX have less than 116M viewers?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Super Bowl LX have at least 140M viewers?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
19 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.47
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$45.55Mar 13, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$32.42Mar 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$2.73Mar 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Mar 13, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$10.52Mar 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$10.00Mar 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$10.00Mar 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$29.39Mar 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$9.00Mar 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$10.00Mar 13, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$10.00Mar 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Feb 9, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$12.98Feb 9, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$1.00Feb 9, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Feb 9, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Feb 9, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".