Modest-Diaper-Storage
0x159f4def47db451c792dc1372c620bc5bda37565
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$81.78
Total PnL
$-13.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
29 shares @ 86.5¢·now 74.8¢·exp May 27, 2026$21.62
$-3.38
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
18 shares @ 92.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.58
$1.58
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 63.8¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.02
$0.02
- NO
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- YES
Trump kiss by May 31?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.81
$0.81
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.65
$-3.35
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$12.11May 17, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?$1.03May 17, 06:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$5.16May 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$13.41May 16, 14:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.04May 15, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.00May 15, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$5.07May 15, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$1.03May 15, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.78May 15, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$11.25May 15, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.09May 15, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.17May 15, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 15, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.01May 15, 07:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$3.30May 14, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".