0x15a5209f6072d678930953ef6b4cb28248a1a869
0x15a5209f6072d678930953ef6b4cb28248a1a869
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$41.64
Total PnL
$-82.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023?
24 shares @ 33.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2023$23.82
$15.82
- YES
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
10 shares @ 19.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$10.47
$8.47
- NO
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY?
5 shares @ 83.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$4.80
$0.80
- YES
Will 'Elden Ring' win Game of the Year?
3 shares @ 78.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 8, 2022$2.55
$0.55
- YES
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?
12 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2022$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
138 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022?
21 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022?
3 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.