Physical-Cupcake
0x15a5ad537919f0c486f920bbd762b9c045db2435
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
17562 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.8K
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
14347 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Trump lose Iowa but win election?
1000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$0.11Feb 9, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$1.88Feb 9, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$1.15Feb 9, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$1.97Feb 9, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$0.03Feb 9, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$5.02Feb 9, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$6.89Feb 9, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$7.97Feb 9, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$0.18Feb 9, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$7.54Feb 9, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$20.80Feb 9, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$23.05Feb 9, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$3.15Feb 9, 01:56 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Nov 7, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$150.00Nov 6, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$51.84Nov 6, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$56.16Nov 6, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$52.00Nov 6, 04:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $231.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".